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๐Ÿคฏ Watcha Collapse: The โ‚ฉ49B Bond That Made Korea's Netflix Unsellable

How Korea's AI-driven streaming pioneer peaked at 1.33M users, trapped itself in โ‚ฉ49B of convertible bonds, and lost the content war to Netflix

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Hey Founders,

Welcome to The Runway Ventures โ€” a weekly newsletter where I deep dive into failed startup stories to help you become the top 1% founder by learning from their mistakes with actionable insights.

Today's story is about how Korea's indie AI-driven streaming pioneer got crushed by a convertible bond time bomb, failed acquisitions, and an unwinnable arms race against Netflix and chaebol-backed rivals. Letโ€™s get to it! ๐Ÿš€

Today at a Glance:

  • โ˜ ๏ธ 1 Failed Startup โ†’ Watcha

  • โš ๏ธ 2 Mistakes โ†’ Raising โ‚ฉ49B convertible bonds at peak valuation

  • ๐Ÿง  3 Lessons Learned โ†’ In streaming, the library is the moat

  • ๐Ÿ”— The Runway Insights โ†’ How to hire people who are better than you

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Southeast Asia Funding Radar โ†’ Salmon Group raises $100M to expand digital banking and lending operations across the Philippines through equity and bonds

โ˜ ๏ธ 1 Failed Startup: Watcha

๐Ÿš€ The Rise of Watcha

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Founded by Park Tae-hoon (CEO), Won Ji-hyun (COO), and Kang Seok-hoon (Business Director) in 2011, Watcha was a South Korean streaming and recommendation platform that used AI to serve personalised movies, dramas, books, music, and webtoons to niche audiences in Korea and Japan.

๐Ÿ•บ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ•บ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ•บ๐Ÿป Foundersโ€™ Story

Watcha started when Park Tae-hoon, a KAIST computer science student, got frustrated watching Korean media platforms push the same popular movies to everyone. No taste. No personalisation. Just rankings.

So he teamed up with two KAIST mates โ€” Won Ji-hyun and Kang Seok-hoon โ€” and built Watchapedia, a movie rating and recommendation engine powered by machine learning.

๐ŸŽฌ The bet was simple โ†’ if you could predict what someone would love based on their taste, you could own their entertainment life.

  • The Problem โ€” ๐ŸŽฌ Korean media platforms in 2011 were generic. Everyone saw the same "popular" content.

    • Naver portal and box-office rankings dominated discovery

    • ML-driven recommendations barely existed in Korean commercial services

    • Diverse tastes (arthouse, foreign, LGBTQ+, anime) had nowhere to go

  • The Solution โ€” ๐Ÿง  Watcha built an AI engine that predicted what you'd love based on what you'd rated.

    • Watchapedia (2012) became Korea's Letterboxd meets IMDb โ€” accumulating rating data

    • Watcha Play (2016) turned that data into a personalised SVOD streaming service

    • A curated niche library (arthouse, classic, foreign, queer content) that global platforms ignored

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐ŸŽฌ In short, Watcha was the indie AI-driven OTT trying to beat Netflix not with scale, but with taste.

โ

The one reason I started was that there are diverse people in the world, and I disliked that the world forces everyone to do the same thing.

It was not a grand dream to change the world. It was a complaint.

And for almost a decade, that complaint looked like a business.

๐Ÿ’ฐ K Cube Ventures (Kakao's early VC arm) bet on them first with an โ‚ฉ800M seed in May 2012 โ€” Watcha became their very first portfolio company.

๐Ÿ“บ In January 2016, Watcha launched Watcha Play โ€” the SVOD streaming version of their data. Before Netflix had built real muscle in Korea. Before Tving, Wavve, and Coupang Play even existed.

๐Ÿ’ฐ By December 2020, Watcha had raised a โ‚ฉ36B (Series D) led by eBEST, Kakao Ventures, and Korea Development Bank โ€” cumulative funding hit ~โ‚ฉ59B.

๐ŸŽต In August 2021, they acquired Vlending, MBC's music distribution arm. Park's new pitch: Watcha wasn't just an OTT โ€” it was a "comprehensive content data company".

๐Ÿ”๏ธ At its peak, Watcha:

  • hit a โ‚ฉ338 billion (~$257M) valuation via convertible bonds in October 2021

  • reached 1.33 million MAU in February 2022

  • posted โ‚ฉ73.3B peak revenue in 2022 (COVID hit and everyone stayed home, doubling the viewing time)

  • offered a library of 90,000+ titles

  • accumulated 600-750 million rating data points

  • prepared to launch Watcha 2.0 โ€” expanding into music and webtoons

In February 2022, Won Ji-hyun announced Watcha 2.0 as "a comprehensive entertainment subscription service". The team was gunning for an IPO that same year. Park publicly shut down any sale rumours.

The indie bet was working. Or so it seemed.

๐Ÿ“‰ The Fall of Watcha

๐Ÿ’ฃ But behind the peak was a ticking time bomb.

In October 2021, at that peak โ‚ฉ338B valuation, Watcha issued โ‚ฉ49 billion of convertible bonds to Dunamu, Kakao Ventures, and Enlight Ventures. At the time, it looked like smart capital raising at premium terms.

It turned out to be the single decision that killed the company.

When the funding winter hit in 2022 and rates spiked, Watcha's โ‚ฉ100B pre-IPO attempt at a โ‚ฉ500B valuation got zero investor interest. The CBs suddenly became a ceiling no rescuer could swallow.

๐Ÿ“Œ Hereโ€™s what happened to Watcha:

๐ŸŽฌ From KAIST project to โ‚ฉ338B valuation

  • 21 Sep 2011 โ€” ๐ŸŒฑ Frograms, Inc. founded in Seoul by three KAIST founders.

  • May 2012 โ€” ๐Ÿ’ฐ K Cube Ventures backed the team with โ‚ฉ800M โ€” Watcha became their first-ever portfolio company.

  • Aug 2012 โ€” ๐Ÿš€ Watchapedia beta launched โ€” Korea's first AI-driven personalised movie recommendation service.

  • Jan 2016 โ€” ๐Ÿ“บ Watcha Play launched. The pivot from recommendation app to full streaming service.

  • 21 Dec 2020 โ€” ๐Ÿ’ฐ Series D closed at โ‚ฉ36B. cumulative funding reached ~โ‚ฉ59B.

  • Oct 2021 โ€” โš ๏ธ Issued โ‚ฉ49B convertible bonds at a โ‚ฉ338B enterprise valuation. The debt anchor that would sink them.

  • 22 Feb 2022 โ€” ๐ŸŽฏ Watcha 2.0 announced.

    • IPO targeted for 2022. Sale rumours denied. Peak MAU ~1.33M.

๐Ÿ’ฃ The โ‚ฉ49B time bomb ticks down

  • 1H 2022 โ€” ๐Ÿ“‰ Pre-IPO attempt to raise โ‚ฉ100B at a โ‚ฉ500B valuation.

    • But zero investor interest as the market had repriced overnight.

  • 28 Jul 2022 โ€” โœ‚๏ธ Restructuring confirmed: double-digit layoffs, halted content investment, Watcha 2.0 postponed, IPO shelved.

    • Sale talks opened with SKT, KT, Ridi, Kyobo, Krafton, Kakao, Coupang.

  • May 2023 โ€” โŒ LG Uplus abruptly withdrew from an advanced acquisition. The โ‚ฉ49B CB debt and financial-investor opposition killed the deal.

  • 11 Oct 2023 โ€” โš–๏ธ Watcha filed an antitrust complaint accusing LG Uplus of stealing its recommendation algorithms during due diligence.

  • Nov 2023 โ€” ๐Ÿ’ฃ Watcha defaulted on the 2021 CBs at maturity. No extension reached with creditors.

  • May 2025 โ€” ๐Ÿ“‰ MAU collapsed to ~470,000 โ€” down 64% from peak.

  • 4 Aug 2025 โ€” ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Seoul Bankruptcy Court formally approved receivership. Park Tae-hoon was designated as supervisor โ€” no external administrator appointed.

  • 24 Apr 2026 โ€” ๐Ÿชฆ CJ ENM, the last serious bidder, withdrew from the court-led sale citing "financial and business viability".

    • Watcha's survival hangs by a thread.

The product was genuinely good. The recommendation engine was sophisticated. The curated library was loved by film lovers. The data, 750 million ratings, was real.

๐Ÿฉธ But an independent startup had taken on โ‚ฉ49B of debt at a peak valuation in a market about to be dominated by conglomerates. Netflix kept pouring billions into Korean originals. Tving (CJ ENM/KT), Wavve (SKT), and Coupang Play all had deep-pocketed parents ready to absorb losses for years.

Watcha had a bond that made it too expensive to rescue and too insolvent to stand alone.

In the end, the math didn't care about taste.

Want to learn more about Watchaโ€™s downfall?

โš ๏ธ 2 Mistakes

Park Tae-hoon  (Founder and CEO of Watcha)

Mistake 1: Raising โ‚ฉ49B convertible bonds at peak valuation

In October 2021, Watcha chose to raise โ‚ฉ49B as convertible bonds from Dunamu, Kakao Ventures, and Enlight Ventures โ€” pegged to the peak โ‚ฉ338B valuation. At the time, this looked smart โ†’ cash in at a premium during the pandemic streaming boom, avoid dilution, IPO next year.

๐Ÿคฆ๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿšจ But CBs aren't clean equity. They carry a ceiling.

The contract referenced that โ‚ฉ338B peak with penalty interest up to 15%. Meaning any future rescue (down-round, acquisition etc. had to clear that number first.

๐Ÿคซ When the tech winter hit in 2022 and the โ‚ฉ100B pre-IPO at โ‚ฉ500B attracted zero investors, the CB became a trap:

  • May 2023 โ†’ LG Uplus walked because existing shareholders refused to cede management at a price below the CB reference

  • Nov 2023 โ†’ Watcha defaulted at maturity, no extension reached with creditors

  • Jul 2025 โ†’ Enlight Ventures filed for court receivership over unpaid CB principal

  • Apr 2026 โ†’ CJ ENM, the last serious bidder, withdrew citing "financial viability"

Every rescue died the same death. Nobody would clear that ceiling.

๐Ÿ’ธ A fleeting market peak had been converted into a permanent financial anchor โ€” in a capital-intensive industry about to reprice violently.

Mistake 2: Treating personalisation as a moat in a content war

๐Ÿ™…๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ As early as 2017, Park Tae-hoon publicly framed Watcha as anti-Netflix:

โ

Netflix is shifting its focus into self-produced original series, while Watcha Play focuses on providing personally-recommended video lists and diverse lineups.

โ€” shared by Park Tae-hoon in a 2017 interview

Park genuinely believed personalisation and a 750M rating dataset would be Watcha's durable moat in SVOD.

๐Ÿค” That was a category error.

In subscription video, the real moat is content ownership and exclusive originals. Users go where the hit shows are and tolerate whatever UX surrounds them. You can have the best recommendation engine in the world โ€” if you don't have Squid Game, people don't subscribe.

While Watcha kept polishing curation and ratings infrastructure:

  • Netflix poured billions into Korean originals

  • Tving (CJ ENM) and Wavve (SKT) tapped their parents' content libraries

  • Coupang Play bought sports rights and tentpole K-dramas

๐Ÿฅฒ The scoreboard by early 2023 โ†’ Netflix 11.6M Korean subscribers. Tving/Wavve 7-8M. Coupang Play 6-7M. Watcha never crossed 1.5M.

In 2022, Watcha burned โ‚ฉ55.5B on โ‚ฉ73.3B revenue (a 76% operating loss ratio) because they were outspent in the only battle that actually mattered.

The recommendation engine was genuinely good. In SVOD though, a better algorithm never beats a better library.

๐Ÿง  3 Lessons Learned

Lesson 1: Be careful of fundraising with convertible bonds

A convertible bond at peak valuation creates a permanent floor.

Every future rescuer must clear it. Watcha learned this when the market repriced โ€” the โ‚ฉ49B CB became untouchable, and every acquisition attempt (LG Uplus, CJ ENM) died at that ceiling.

๐ŸŒฎ Key Takeaways:
  • Peak-valuation debt locks in a price every future rescuer must clear, even years later.

  • Convertible bonds carry hidden ceilings that penalise every down-round and acquisition attempt.

  • Clean equity at a defensible price beats premium debt at a fragile peak.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Operator Playbook:
  • ๐ŸŽฏ Stress-test CB terms before signing (not after default)

    • Model three scenarios: bull (IPO), base (down-round), bear (fire-sale). If your CB terms make the bear case unworkable, renegotiate or walk.

    • If the conversion math at a 50% down-round already wipes out founder equity, you've signed a trap โ€” one that just hasn't been triggered yet.

  • ๐Ÿงฑ Cap CB conversion at a valuation FLOOR (not just a ceiling)

    • Without a floor, CB holders become the most powerful veto in any M&A talk. Watcha learned this when LG Uplus walked in May 2023, blocked by financial-investor opposition to any sub-โ‚ฉ338B exit.

    • Build explicit consent rights for down-round acquisitions at pre-agreed discounts; silent veto power is the default you have to negotiate away.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Earmark 30%+ of any frothy-market raise for a debt service reserve

    • Watcha spent its โ‚ฉ49B on Vlending, originals, and Watcha 2.0, leaving zero cushion for 2023 refinancing.

    • Penalty interest in a rising-rate environment (Watcha faced up to 15% annual) converts a solvable maturity into a terminal one within 12 months.

Lesson 2: Read the funding cycle before expanding scope

In late 2021, with a tech winter forming on the horizon, Watcha did the opposite of what survival required.

They acquired Vlending, raised โ‚ฉ49B in debt, and announced Watcha 2.0 โ€” music and webtoons. Within 6 months, every plan was shelved โ€” the capital was already burned.

๐ŸŒฎ Key Takeaways:
  • The hardest signal to read is the one that says "stop, narrow, defend".

  • Adjacent-category expansion requires proven core economics before launch.

  • A funding winter rewards focus on what already works.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Operator Playbook:
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Run a quarterly "cycle posture" review

    • Track 3 macro signals: recent comparable raises, interest rate trajectory, public market multiples in your category.

    • If 2 of 3 trend negative, shift from growth posture to durability posture within the same quarter.

    • Netflix paused content spending in 2022 and refocused on retention before resuming aggressive investment in 2023 โ€” that's reading the cycle.

  • ๐ŸงŠ Apply the "freeze test" before any new product line

    • Ask: "If new capital disappeared for 18 months, would we still launch this?"

    • Model the standalone 18-month burn โ€” team, content, marketing, infrastructure โ€” using only existing cash.

    • If running the new line would force layoffs in the core, kill the launch.

Lesson 3: In streaming, the library is the moat

๐Ÿ“บ From 2017, Park Tae-hoon publicly framed Watcha against Netflix as personalisation versus originals, betting a 750M-rating dataset would be the durable moat.

The market voted differently. Netflix reached 11.6M Korean subscribers while Watcha never crossed 1.5M because subscribers go where the hit shows are.

๐ŸŒฎ Key Takeaways:
  • In subscription video, the moat is content ownership โ€” algorithms are just features.

  • A better algorithm cannot offset a smaller library when subscribers chase exclusive hits.

  • Distinctive curation builds niche loyalty but rarely drives the mass-market growth that funds originals.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Operator Playbook:
  • ๐ŸŽฌ Audit your moat against the actual buying decision

    • Survey new subscriber cohorts: "What made you sign up this month?" 

      • If <20% mention recommendations, your moat lies elsewhere.

    • Benchmark content spend as % of revenue against category leaders. Netflix spent ~50% at peak โ€” that's what kept subscribers locked in.

  • ๐Ÿ“š Pick a moat that compounds with subscriber scale

    • Content ownership compounds โ†’ the same hit episode amortises across 11M subs vs 1M subs at the same production cost.

    • Recommendation quality plateaus fast. You don't need 750M ratings to recommend well โ€” you probably need maybe 50M.

    • Coupang Play won by buying content nobody else had โ€” exclusive K-League and EPL Korean broadcasting rights โ€” instead of competing on algorithms.

๐Ÿ”— The Runway Insights

  • How to hire people who are better than you (Read)

  • How to compete with legacy incumbents (Read)

  • How to angel invest (even if you have no money) (Read)

  • VC in 2026: 75% of all the money is going to just 5 VC funds. And to just 5 "startups." (Read)

  • Surviving AI price wars without destroying your business (Read)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Southeast Asia Funding Radar

  • Salmon Group raises $100M to expand digital banking and lending operations across the Philippines through equity and bonds (More)

  • PvX Partners secures $10.5M (Series A) to scale cohort-based user acquisition financing platform for consumer and mobile gaming apps (More)

  • Kitar bags $10M (Pre-Series A) to grow secondhand mobile phone recommerce platform advancing circular economy across SEA (More)

  • Muun AI closes $700K (Pre-Seed) to scale industrial AI platform converting machine telemetry into real-time operational intelligence for factories (More)

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Thanks for reading. I hope you enjoyed today's issue. More than that, I hope youโ€™ve learned some actionable tips to build and grow your business.

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See you again next week.

- Admond

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